Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 9 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 6 km from here.
This alert expired on 29 September 2026 at 23:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 4 August 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 4:10PM MDT until September 29 at 5:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
Nearby, since 4 August 2026
- September 11, 2026 · 13.2 km
- August 4, 2026 · 19.1 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.61/1 |
| Coordinates | 32.7414, -108.8642 |
| Nearest City | Douglas (169 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-29T22:10:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.74591eeaa62d9fb8576f7cf73d7a64743b3a153b.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-29T22:10:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-29T21:03:34.575Z. Material modification: 2026-09-29T22:15:09.101Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-09-29T22:04:11.127Z · data_change
Index 41 → 16.
6 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.74591eeaa62d9fb8576f7cf73d7a64743b3a153b.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Dona Ana, NM; Otero, NM; El Paso, TX; Otero, NM; Lincoln, NM; Socorro, NM and 13 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 4:10PM MDT until September 29 at 5:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-29T17:45:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 21 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.74591eeaa62d9fb8576f7cf73d7a64743b3a153b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3e388921ced6e3967545af49257d1be0d6cdb0d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.445c4b07c651d31a7019741fa68c4134c2580811.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c5f71eeb99444914feeaa94b967e8eb0131d5734.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9848c0f75180df75b98a889b427f19a50a651cbd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c6a08c658b0230a9de162b3da5b2b8278e07d590.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e8a576cb7d9fd06a81286cf440a12d037592c0cf.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20b0ba9d9ed47577b5f984f4fb494fa69efeb48b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.020169a87383e023baf19dfb3e11437c658781a9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.316e1a2b43c8aaf2e2aee811f36d1e63dc270e5b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8036f09ab08d0139e76e88d276b8bea270932ade.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.10e7e6cfb8280415d4a27941c29d387c9e6a2fdd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.30002bda7c14d7aecd5295829558dbc7ab05001d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.188d5d1cc9778be8a9ee423b5999f6f853dc6b63.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f3e0800d454ff7ecaa8f28c9647895a4651fe71f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dc65536268a1c4a412c1fd1774bcedc3917a68be.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3d8f41591b869e6c642f20d83978c0ce0f768273.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.259d8c0dbbda730480bd1e779db928af1f718b65.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7ad856de398b796e2ddac4a9f9a8af26cf5bd5a5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.645cbd430762199ed3f85bd22cd44c46d9ae2aff.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d5acb9243d20e06a5c9993ec779481a2e5aa9b65.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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